Bitcoin Price Analysis with NUPL
2024-08-05Bittime - NUPL is an on-chain metric that indicates the profitability or loss of the crypto market. The latest NUPL analysis indicates that the Bitcoin market cycle has not yet reached its peak, with bearish patterns dominating.
What is meant by NUPL?
NUPL is an on-chain metric that shows whether the market is experiencing profits or losses. It is calculated by dividing the ratio of unrealized relative gains by unrealized relative losses. A positive NUPL value indicates market profitability, while a negative value indicates the market is losing money.
A loss state means that the total value of BTC purchased at a price higher than the current price is greater than the total value of BTC purchased at a lower price. As a result, losses that have not occurred are greater than profits that have not occurred.
NUPL in Last Year's Market Cycle
The NUPL indicator reached the Euphoria (blue) category last January 2017, but did not reach it in 2020, reaching only 0.748. NUPL fell below 50 to the emergency level (yellow) in both market cycles, and then returned to above 50 and then fell again, thus confirming the bearish trend.
Read Also: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024 According to Experts
Bitcoin Price Analysis with NUPL
According to previous history, the NUPL indicator will reach a high above 70 and then fall below 50 to confirm a bearish trend. This shows that the crypto market cycle has not yet reached its peak, it is very likely to reach its next high.
LTH-NUPL supports the decision. The price has surged well into the Euphoria stage (blue), which was above 0.82 in the previous two market cycles. It hasn't even crossed 0.75 in the current market cycle.
Conclusion
A positive value of NUPL indicates market profitability, while a negative value indicates a loss. This is an on-chain metric that shows whether the crypto market is in a state of profit or loss. In the previous market cycle, NUPL reached the Euphoria category in January 2017, but did not reach it in 2020, reaching only 0.748. NUPL usually falls below 50 to the anxiety stage and then rises again, indicating a bearish trend.
Typically, the NUPL indicator peaks above 70 before dropping below 50 to indicate a bearish trend. According to LTH-NUPL data, Bitcoin price has not yet reached the Euphoria stage, which was seen in the previous two market cycles. Overall, this analysis shows that the current market cycle peak has not yet occurred and will likely occur in the future.
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