Narrative and Bitcoin Price Predictions According to Experts

Bittime – Narrative and Bitcoin Price Predictions According to Experts. Will Bitcoin reach a new high price (ATH) in 2025?

In this article, we will explore experts' views on the market narrative, valuation projections, and various Bitcoin price prediction models in the coming years. This Bitcoin price prediction is divided into several chapters for ease of understanding, starting from the market narrative, Bitcoin price prediction, to its antithesis.

This article is sourced from Angga Adinata's youtube video titled “Moonvembull & Bitcoin Price in 2025”

1. Halloween Strategy: Seasonal Strategy for Bitcoin Investment

Halloween Strategy is a seasonal investment strategy that advises investors to buy assets in early October or November and sell them in late April of the following year. According to a common belief in financial markets, assets tend to perform better between November and April.

This strategy is also known as the saying “sell in May and go away, but remember to come back in November.”

Why is May to September considered sub-optimal? The main reason is the summer season in Europe and North America, when many investors and market professionals take time off, resulting in less trading activity.

With lower trading volumes, markets become more volatile or even stagnant, which impacts asset performance.

Interestingly, this seasonal pattern also appears in the Bitcoin market, where prices tend to rise between October and April, when liquidity and market sentiment increase towards the end of the year.

Also read Bitcoin (BTC) Price

2. Historical Bitcoin Data Using the Halloween Strategy

Historical data shows this strategy has been valid in 8 out of the last 12 years and often holds true in election years, such as in 2012, 2016, and 2020.

However, it's not always consistent, especially during bear markets (such as in 2014, 2018, and 2021).

As the cycle changes, this strategy provides potential gains in the 4th quarter, especially in election years.

With increased attention on Bitcoin and consideration of seasonality, many investors consider the Halloween Strategy as one way of optimizing investments.

Also read What is tgBTC? Bitcoin Synthetic Token that TON Will Launch

3. Bitcoin ETF: The Most Successful ETF in History

Bitcoin ETFs have performed exceptionally well and even beat gold's achievement in terms of fund inflows in a short period of time.

Of the 575 ETFs issued in America this year, 14 were Bitcoin ETFs, and most of them topped the list based on inflows.

This positive prediction makes Bitcoin ETFs attract the attention of large investors, while showing strong demand in the global market.

Also read Bitcoin Price Will Collapse If Donald Trump or Kamala Harris Win the US Election?

4. Donald Trump and his Impact on Bitcoin

Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election in November is believed by some analysts to give an additional boost to Bitcoin, especially since the majority of projections show a favorable outcome.

Since March, Bitcoin has potentially broken out of a downtrend pattern, and if Trump wins, Bitcoin could be pushed further upwards.

Read also Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold Prices Rise Dramatically Ahead of US Election

5. Prospects for the Bitcoin Bill in the United States

The Bitcoin Rights Bill in Pennsylvania is a big step towards legalizing Bitcoin as a means of payment.

In some other states, such as Ohio, legislation is being proposed to allow tax payments using Bitcoin, which would make it legal tender.

If these steps continue to progress, Bitcoin could have an increasingly strong legal status, not only as an investment asset but also as legal tender.

6. Bitcoin Fee: A Strategy to Generate Income

Bitcoin fees or strategies to earn yield on Bitcoin could be more profitable if the Fed rate drops.

Currently, yield farming and Delta neutral strategies allow investors to earn returns without being affected by volatility.

Some Bitcoin layer 2 projects even facilitate yield farming in Bitcoin, which shows the increasing use cases of Bitcoin in various DeFi applications.

7. Bitcoin Spiral Clock: Predictions Based on Spiral Law

The Bitcoin Spiral Clock is a unique approach to understanding Bitcoin price movements that shows that today's Bitcoin price is always higher than it was four years earlier on the same day.

Based on this pattern, Bitcoin has entered an upward momentum that is expected to last until its peak in 2025.

Also read Bitcoin ($BTC) $70K Resistance in Sight, Any Chance of Breaking New ATH?

8. Bitcoin Price Projections According to Power Law

The Power Law model predicts that Bitcoin price by the end of 2024 could reach $120,300, with support at $48,100.

Over the years, this model has shown accurate long-term trends despite using a simple mathematical approach.

Power Law also reflects Bitcoin's superior CAGR compared to other assets, making it an attractive prediction model for long-term investors.

Also read Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Bullish Trend Before Election!

9. Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025 According to Experts

Sintina (201 Capital)

Sintina (201 Capital) expects Bitcoin price to reach $211,000 by 2025 and suggests aggressive accumulation as long as Bitcoin price remains below $85,000.

Spinston Wright

Spinston Wright expects Bitcoin price in 2025-2026 to reach $168,400 to $207,623 using Decoy Channel Oscillator analysis.

VanEck

VanEck has a bullish view with a target of $350,000 and has included Bitcoin in its portfolio with a 30% allocation.

Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered expects Bitcoin to reach $121,500 by the end of 2025 and provides specific guidance that a Republican victory could push Bitcoin prices higher.

Also read Bitcoin price will drop if Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US election?

10. Antithesis: Risks to Consider

The high risk of recession is a concern for investors, especially with rising interest rates putting pressure on the stock market.

If a recession occurs, like the one the world experienced in 1973, it is likely that the impact could be felt on Bitcoin as well.

To date, metrics to measure Bitcoin's performance during a recession are limited, although there are signs that Bitcoin could act as “Gold 2.0” or a digital safe haven asset in times of uncertainty.

However, this trend still requires further evidence, especially if a global recession occurs between 2025 and 2026.

Bitcoin price predictions by these experts show exciting potential, especially with new strategies and use cases in the market.

With increasing adoption by large institutions such as Bitcoin ETFs and its possible legality as a means of payment, Bitcoin is in a very strong position.

However, investors also need to consider the antithesis, such as the potential for a global recession that could destabilize financial markets, including Bitcoin.

The decision to invest in Bitcoin requires a measured strategy, both with long-term accumulation and seasonal approaches such as the Halloween Strategy.

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