Crazy Bitcoin Prediction: Breaking $3 Million per Coin by 2050 According to VanEck
2024-11-13Bittime - Bitcoin prices have experienced tremendous ups and downs in recent years. However, investment firm VanEck's Bitcoin price prediction recently shocked the market. Here's the review!
VanEck estimates that by 2050, the price of Bitcoin could reach $3 million (around IDR 47 billion) per coin. If true, this prediction would make Bitcoin one of the most valuable assets in the world.
In fact, these assets may replace traditional currencies as global reserves. But, what is the reason behind this optimism, and what challenges does Bitcoin have to face to achieve it? Keep following this article.
The Reason Behind VanEck's Extraordinary Prediction
VanEck believes that Bitcoin can become an integral part of the global financial system. According to their report, Bitcoin has the potential to take over most international trade and even some aspects of domestic trade.
VanEck estimates that Bitcoin could account for up to 10% of total international trade and 5% of domestic trade by 2050. This means that Bitcoin will not only serve as an investment asset, but also as a primary medium of exchange.
Additionally, VanEck predicts that central banks in various countries will probably start including Bitcoin in their reserves. This report states that central banks place around 2.5% of their assets in Bitcoin.
This will push the price of Bitcoin up to $3 million per coin. With this value, Bitcoin will have a market capitalization of $61 trillion (around IDR 957 quadrillion).
Read also: Bitcoin Price History from 2009 to 2024
Layer-2 Technology: Solutions for Bitcoin Scalability
One of the main problems facing Bitcoin currently is its limited capacity to process large amounts of transactions. Currently, the Bitcoin network is only able to handle around 7-15 transactions per second.
This is a far cry from traditional financial systems like SWIFT which can handle up to 45 million messages per day. If Bitcoin is to be used on a global scale, current technology is still not enough.
However, VanEck is optimistic that "Layer-2" technology will help overcome this problem. Layer-2 technologies, such as the Lightning Network, allow transactions to be made outside of Bitcoin's main network, which are then recorded onto the main blockchain for final balance only.
In this way, Layer-2 can make Bitcoin faster and more efficient, without sacrificing the decentralization and security that are its main attractions. If this technology is successfully adopted widely, VanEck estimates that an additional value of $7.6 trillion (around IDR 1,193 trillion) could be added to Bitcoin's market capitalization.
Bitcoin as an Alternative Reserve Currency
Why is Bitcoin considered a strong candidate to become a global reserve currency? VanEck put forward several reasons, ranging from decentralization to resistance to political manipulation.
Bitcoin operates outside the control of any particular government or entity, making it resistant to political interference and corruption. Its transparent and community-based system makes it neutral, and Bitcoin also has an immutable monetary policy, with a maximum supply of only 21 million coins.
This limited supply of Bitcoin adds intrinsic value that is different from traditional currencies that can be printed without limit. With its anti-inflation properties, Bitcoin can be a strong hedge amidst global economic uncertainty.
Another interesting feature is strong property rights: Bitcoins are owned exclusively by the holder of the private key, so they cannot be confiscated without the owner's permission.
Read also: Can You Get Free Bitcoin?
Big Challenges Facing Bitcoin
While Bitcoin's future sounds promising, there are some major challenges that need to be overcome. First is scalability. To be able to compete with the global financial system, Bitcoin must be able to process more transactions quickly.
Layer-2 technology does offer a solution, but the adoption process requires time and trust from users.
In addition, Bitcoin's limitations in supporting complex smart contracts are also an obstacle. Smart contracts are a feature that allows transactions to be carried out automatically based on certain conditions, which is especially important in more complex financial applications.
Ethereum, for example, has broader smart contract capabilities than Bitcoin, and this is the reason why Bitcoin is not as flexible as some other blockchains when it comes to developing financial applications.
Conclusion
VanEck's prediction that the price of Bitcoin could reach $3 million per coin by 2050 shows great optimism about the future potential of this asset. If Bitcoin manages to overcome scalability issues and gain support from central banks and large financial institutions, this asset could become the backbone of the global financial system.
Layer-2 technologies, such as the Lightning Network, are expected to be the key to achieving this goal. The technology could make Bitcoin faster, more efficient and ready for global use.
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